Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Response 2 (to Article 2)

Of the environmental issues of the 21st century, global warming is rooted firmly at the summit. It is now so severe that it will cause a whole different world in the upcoming century. The implications are mind-boggling. Sea levels will rise, causing widespread flooding in areas like Southeast Asia and Western Europe. North Africa will get drier than it is now, ushering in a whole new climate for our planet.

At the heart of the matter is the emission of greenhouse gases. Although the Kyoto Protocol came into force on February 16 2005, it has hardly helped to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The United States, one of the signatories to the treaty, has not even ratified the treaty while China, the second greatest emitter of greenhouse gases, and India have been granted exceptions. So, while other countries work hard to meet their targets, several countries are just negating the effects of their work.

Whose problem is it anyway? Developing countries feel that developed countries created this problem and have the most resources and should therefore solve the problem. Developing countries also demand the right to develop, whatever the consequence. Clearly, global warming requires an entire planet’s efforts to combat. Australia, for example, is refusing to shut down its coal-fired plants because it says the effects will just be negated by China’s everlasting drive to build coal-fired plants. The USA puts economy before environment and refuses to change their stand. Canada is giving up because they say they cannot meet their targets.


There is presently no global coordinated effort to counter global warming. Only a handful of countries have reduced their emissions by the 8% stated in the Protocol, such as Sweden. The problem is so bad that some have started to brace themselves for the effects of global warming. To them, global warming is here and can no longer be stopped or reversed. Although they seem defeatist, they could be right.

In Singapore, we will not be spared from the effects of global warming. We are a small island, surrounded by water, and will cease to exist if sea levels rise by 10 or 20 inches. For my part, I am ready to help in whatever way I can, be it recycling my waste or using energy-saving alternatives whenever possible such as florescent bulbs instead of incandescent ones. But our efforts alone cannot solve global warming. It requires the combined efforts of all nations; especially major polluters such as China, India, USA and Australia.

Since global warming cannot be completely reversed, we should also look at how to deal with its consequences. We need to prepare for a hotter and drier world with more extreme storms and droughts. We will need to develop new crops that will thrive in these conditions and even construct flood defenses. These are actions we can undertake ourselves without the need for complicated coordination with other nations. While trying to counter global warming, we must also be prepared for it.

Response 1(To Article 1)

On January 11 2007, China fired a ground-based ballistic missile and destroyed one of its own ageing weather satellites. On the surface, this may seem a domestic affair and a trivial achievement when compared with the far greater advancements made in space by the Americans and Russians. On closer examination, it is an event of far greater significance. It may well mark the beginning of an expensive and dangerous “Space Race”.

As I see it, the Chinese were doing more than just “house cleaning” in space. They have served notice to the world that they have the technology and capabilities to operate in space. Till now this is an area dominated very much by America.

For America, this test is a great affront to their dominance in space and the security of their country. It is well known that America has many spy and communications satellites in space that are vital to many civilian and military activities. These satellites will certainly be high value targets for any enemy contemplating military action against the United States (US). Till now, the Americans have never felt these assets to be vulnerable to attack. This test has changed these assumptions dramatically!

According to a survey by TIME magazine, the Chinese believe they should play a greater role in world affairs given their growing wealth and economy. This test may be a message to the rest of the world on the ascendancy of the Middle Kingdom. China clearly has aspirations to be a world superpower, a status currently enjoyed by only the US, after the fall of the Soviet Union.

The other repercussion of this Chinese missile test is “space debris”. The satellite destroyed by the Chinese while in orbit has created a million pieces of space debris, some large enough to cause damage to other satellites in orbit. While the problem is not a new one, a French satellite, Cerise, was the first verified case of a collision between two objects in space, the act has been viewed as irresponsible by many nations.

I am concerned that this test may lead to increasing tensions between the US and China with the potential to spill over to trade and economic issues. For Singapore, this is not good news. Singapore’s economy is highly dependent on external trade and both China and the US are major trade partners of Singapore. Icy relations may lead to protectionist policies causing a world recession.

Singapore is a close ally of the US in international affairs and it also enjoys very good relations with China. If the US and China were to become enemies, which side is Singapore going to take?

A “Space Race” between nations is going to be very expensive and potentially harmful to the environment. Instead, we should focus our resources and attention to addressing the many pressing problems on earth such as global warming, famine, poverty and religious fanaticism. But, of course, not everyone agrees.

Welcome

Hi everyone,

Welcome to my blog. YAY!! I'll be posting the serious stuff from the next post onwards

Kevin